Tuesday 4 February 2014, 6:30pm for 7:00pm start
Pigs didn’t fly, but swine flu by Ken Eames and Ellen-Brooks Pollock (Ken is a Lecturer in the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, and Ellen is a Research Fellow at the University of Cambridge)
Abstract
Over the past few years, mathematicians have found themselves on the front line in the fight against epidemics. Mathematical models are frequently called upon by policy makers to answer questions about the likely scale of outbreaks and to help guide control efforts. How does a mathematician go about developing a model that will provide reliable answers to important (and often urgent) policy questions? In this talk we will discuss some modelling techniques used to understand and quantify infectious disease spread. Approaches range from simple, analytically solvable models to complex individual-based simulations, but in all cases is it essential to identify the processes that drive the epidemic.
We will talk about modelling efforts that took place during the 2009 swine flu pandemic and how modelling contributes to the ‘badger versus cattle’ bovine TB debate.
Venue: Imperial College London, South Kensington Campus. Room 201. Skempton Building. London SW7 2AZ
Nearest Tube: South Kensington – take the tunnel to the end, turn left out of the exit and left again.
